Outcome markets

Hyperliquid Outcome Markets: Live HIP-4 Prices

Inspect the current HIP-4 contract set, raw Yes/No side mids, targets, expiry, grouped questions, and saved price history from public data.

Last updated: 2026-08-26Last reviewed: 2026-08-26
Product boundary
Public outcome metadata provides contract fields and side prices, but not every complete oracle or comparison rule. Verify the exact resolution terms before treating any market price as a probability.

Live HIP-4 contract board

Public Hyperliquid contract metadata and raw Yes/No side mids. A side mid is a market price, not a verified probability or forecast.

Active contracts
287
Standalone
180
Grouped questions
22
Quote
USDC

Resolution rules require a separate check

The public response currently provides class, target or thresholds, expiry, side labels, and mids for 287 contracts, but not the full oracle and comparison rule. HypeBasis shows those raw fields while withholding verified-probability labels and contract-specific EV links.

Standalone binary contracts

Each row uses the target, expiry, side labels, and mids returned for the current contract id.

template:binaryPrice
#20835 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.5026
template:No mid
0.4974
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.5026 to 0.5026 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:sportsContestWinner
#25812 · USDC · Not supplied
template:{shortNameA} mid
0.2628
template:{shortNameB} mid
0.7372
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:{shortNameA} mid moved from 0.2637 to 0.2628 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:sportsContestWinner
#25867 · USDC · Not supplied
template:{shortNameA} mid
0.7703
template:{shortNameB} mid
0.2297
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
+20.2 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:{shortNameA} mid moved from 0.5685 to 0.7703 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:binaryPrice
#23745 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.1332
template:No mid
0.8668
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.4 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.1368 to 0.1332 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:binaryPrice
#23753 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.0514
template:No mid
0.9486
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
+0.7 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.0440 to 0.0514 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:priceTouch
#22102 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.3050
template:No mid
0.6950
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.3056 to 0.3050 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:companyIpoFirstDayMarketCap
#19821 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.4625
template:No mid
0.5375
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-21.9 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.6819 to 0.4625 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:binaryPrice
#23997 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.0657
template:No mid
0.9343
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.0662 to 0.0657 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:binaryPrice
#23733 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.0822
template:No mid
0.9178
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.0826 to 0.0822 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:binaryPrice
#20838 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.4954
template:No mid
0.5047
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.4954 to 0.4954 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Grouped question #600

template:sportsContestResult

4 linked contracts
0 settled named outcomes
Expiry
Not supplied
Thresholds
Not supplied
Class
Not supplied

Threshold order and linked contract ids come from the public question record. Range labels and the fallback resolution rule are not inferred.

Named outcome 1
#25796 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.4125
No mid
0.5875
Contract definition
template:sportsContestResult, named outcome 1

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
+0.4 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.4083 to 0.4125 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 2
#25797 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.2622
No mid
0.7378
Contract definition
template:sportsContestResult, named outcome 2

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.2631 to 0.2622 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 3
#25798 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.3259
No mid
0.6741
Contract definition
template:sportsContestResult, named outcome 3

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.2 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.3282 to 0.3259 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Fallback outcome
#25795 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.5000
No mid
0.5000
Contract definition
template:sportsContestResult, fallback outcome

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.5000 to 0.5000 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Grouped question #586

template:sportsContestResult

4 linked contracts
0 settled named outcomes
Expiry
Not supplied
Thresholds
Not supplied
Class
Not supplied

Threshold order and linked contract ids come from the public question record. Range labels and the fallback resolution rule are not inferred.

Named outcome 1
#24941 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.5711
No mid
0.4289
Contract definition
template:sportsContestResult, named outcome 1

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.3 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.5738 to 0.5711 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 2
#24942 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.2346
No mid
0.7654
Contract definition
template:sportsContestResult, named outcome 2

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.3 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.2375 to 0.2346 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 3
#24943 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.1925
No mid
0.8075
Contract definition
template:sportsContestResult, named outcome 3

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
+0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.1916 to 0.1925 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Fallback outcome
#24940 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.5000
No mid
0.5000
Contract definition
template:sportsContestResult, fallback outcome

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.5000 to 0.5000 since 2026-11-06T02:17:58.313Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

The concise board starts with 10 of 180 standalone contracts and 2 of 22 grouped questions. Expand only when you need the full contract inventory.

Live data - updated 0s ago

What are Hyperliquid outcome markets?

Hyperliquid outcome markets are bounded contracts with Yes/No or grouped sides and a fixed resolution event. The live board shows public contract metadata and raw side mids; probability and expected-value tools remain secondary until the exact resolution rule is verified.

Checklist before tradingOpen
  • What exactly causes the outcome to settle Yes or No?
  • What is the expiry or settlement time?
  • What asset is used for collateral and settlement?
  • How wide is the order book spread?
  • What happens if the event is ambiguous or delayed?
Open generic outcome calculatorsOpen

These tools are generic. Enter assumptions only after you can state the contract's exact settlement question and source.

Subjective scenario

Compare your estimate with the contract price

Your probability estimate is a manual assumption, not a HypeBasis forecast or market signal.
Probability source
Your estimate
Settlement
Not modeled
Fees and spread
Excluded
Scenario EV
$13.00
Break-even probability
42.0%
Cost and max loss
$42.00
Probability-weighted payout
$55.00
Max profit
$58.00
Estimate minus break-even
13.0 pp

Scenario EV is not a recommendation. A small probability error can flip the result, and the entire cost can be lost. Check exact settlement, resolution, liquidity, fees, and eligibility first.

Translation only

Normalize odds and probability language

Odds direction
Odds to probability
Price direction
Probability to 0-1
Forecast
None
Odds-implied probability
40.0%
Decimal outcome price
0.600

This converts notation only. It does not remove bookmaker margin or account for fees, spread, liquidity, settlement, resolution, or market eligibility.

Risk notice
Outcome markets are high-risk event contracts. A market price is not a verified probability, the full cost can be lost, and resolution, settlement, liquidity, fees, and eligibility rules may alter the real risk.

Related tools

Sources

4 references · Expand
  • Supports: Public info endpoint families used for market, book, candle, account, portfolio, native borrow/lend reserve, vaultDetails, userFees account-rate, and maxBuilderFee approval reads.
  • Hyperliquid Docs: Asset IDsAccessed 2026-08-26
    Supports: Official outcome-side asset-id encoding used to map Yes and No side assets to public price and order-book endpoints.
  • Supports: Perpetual contract units, USDC margining, margin fractions, funding versus expiration, and order value limits.
  • Supports: Hyperliquid outcome metadata endpoint shape and technical interpretation boundaries.