Outcome markets

Hyperliquid Outcome Markets

Outcome markets are bounded payoff contracts. This page focuses on mechanics, expected value, and risk before any trading decision.

Last updated: 2026-05-30Last reviewed: 2026-05-30
Product boundary
A price near 0.60 is not a promise that an event has a 60% chance. It is a market price that can include fees, spreads, liquidity pressure, and settlement uncertainty.

Direct answer

A binary outcome market pays a fixed amount if the chosen outcome resolves correctly and pays nothing if it resolves incorrectly. Traders should compare contract price to their own probability estimate, then account for fees, spreads, and resolution risk.

Checklist before trading

  • What exactly causes the outcome to settle Yes or No?
  • What is the expiry or settlement time?
  • What asset is used for collateral and settlement?
  • How wide is the order book spread?
  • What happens if the event is ambiguous or delayed?

Outcome market data

This uses public Hyperliquid outcome data and available side prices. Treat implied probability as market-price context, not a forecast or trade recommendation. Recent-change context appears only when enough saved price history exists for the same side.

Price history
Price history available
14400 price records
14400 live, 0 fallback
Price history fresh - 0.8h old
Usable price history - 57 captures

Probability-change context is using 14400 saved outcome price records. Newest saved price: 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Recent price change
Recent price change summary
57 captures
250 matched sides
60.8h window

250 currently priced outcome sides matched saved history across 57 price times. Largest absolute move: Recurring Yes +42.2 pts. This is descriptive price history, not a forecast.

Probability history
Stored probability history
57 capture times
60.0h window

Implied probability from saved mid prices across 57 capture times over 60.0 hours. Descriptive stored price history, not a forecast.

Iraq · Yes2.5% (-47.5 pts)
37h agolatest
Iraq · No97.5% (+47.5 pts)
37h agolatest
Haiti · Yes5.3% (-44.7 pts)
37h agolatest
Haiti · No94.7% (+44.7 pts)
37h agolatest
Uzbekistan · Yes5.4% (-44.6 pts)
37h agolatest
Uzbekistan · No94.6% (+44.6 pts)
37h agolatest
Outcome #171

Fallback

Yes#1710 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1711 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #172

Algeria

Yes#1720 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.001105 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1721 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.998895 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.001105
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #173

Argentina

Yes#1730 11.7%Earlier saved price 11.7% at 0.117015 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1731 88.3%Earlier saved price 88.3% at 0.882985 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 11.7% at 0.117015
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 11.7% to 11.7% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #174

Australia

Yes#1740 0.6%Earlier saved price 0.6% at 0.00551 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1741 99.4%Earlier saved price 99.4% at 0.99449 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.6% at 0.00551
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.6% to 0.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #175

Austria

Yes#1750 0.3%Earlier saved price 0.3% at 0.003495 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1751 99.7%Earlier saved price 99.7% at 0.996505 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.3% at 0.003495
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.3% to 0.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #176

Belgium

Yes#1760 1.2%Earlier saved price 1.2% at 0.011915 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1761 98.8%Earlier saved price 98.8% at 0.988085 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 1.2% at 0.012145
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 1.2% to 1.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #177

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Yes#1770 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.000525 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1771 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.999475 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.000525
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #178

Brazil

Yes#1780 5.9%Earlier saved price 5.9% at 0.05946 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1781 94.1%Earlier saved price 94.1% at 0.94054 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 5.9% at 0.05945
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 5.9% to 5.9% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #179

Canada

Yes#1790 0.4%Earlier saved price 0.4% at 0.00409 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1791 99.6%Earlier saved price 99.6% at 0.99591 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.4% at 0.00409
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.4% to 0.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #180

Cape Verde

Yes#1800 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.001355 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1801 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.998645 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.001355
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #181

Colombia

Yes#1810 1.6%Earlier saved price 1.6% at 0.01624 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1811 98.4%Earlier saved price 98.4% at 0.98376 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 1.6% at 0.01624
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 1.6% to 1.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #182

Congo DR

Yes#1820 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.00099 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1821 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.99901 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.00099
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #183

Croatia

Yes#1830 0.6%Earlier saved price 0.6% at 0.00625 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1831 99.4%Earlier saved price 99.4% at 0.99375 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.6% at 0.00625
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.6% to 0.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #184

Curacao

Yes#1840 0.0%Earlier saved price 0.0% at 0.000365 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1841 100.0%Earlier saved price 100.0% at 0.999635 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.0% at 0.000365
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.0% to 0.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #185

Czechia

Yes#1850 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.000875 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1851 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.999125 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.000875
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #186

Ecuador

Yes#1860 0.3%Earlier saved price 0.3% at 0.002945 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1861 99.7%Earlier saved price 99.7% at 0.997055 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.3% at 0.002945
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.3% to 0.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #187

Egypt

Yes#1870 0.2%Earlier saved price 0.2% at 0.001555 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1871 99.8%Earlier saved price 99.8% at 0.998445 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.2% at 0.001555
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.2% to 0.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #188

England

Yes#1880 12.5%Earlier saved price 12.5% at 0.12488 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1881 87.5%Earlier saved price 87.5% at 0.87512 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 12.5% at 0.12488
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 12.5% to 12.5% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #189

France

Yes#1890 19.7%Earlier saved price 19.7% at 0.19705 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1891 80.3%Earlier saved price 80.3% at 0.80295 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 19.7% at 0.19705
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 19.7% to 19.7% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #190

Germany

Yes#1900 5.8%Earlier saved price 5.8% at 0.058045 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1901 94.2%Earlier saved price 94.2% at 0.941955 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 5.8% at 0.05805
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 5.8% to 5.8% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #191

Ghana

Yes#1910 0.3%Earlier saved price 0.3% at 0.002985 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1911 99.7%Earlier saved price 99.7% at 0.997015 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.3% at 0.002985
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.3% to 0.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #192

Haiti

Yes#1920 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.00064 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1921 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.99936 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.00064
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #193

Iran

Yes#1930 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.00139 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1931 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.99861 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.00139
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #194

Iraq

Yes#1940 0.3%Earlier saved price 0.3% at 0.002505 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1941 99.7%Earlier saved price 99.7% at 0.997495 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.3% at 0.002505
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.3% to 0.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #195

Ivory Coast

Yes#1950 0.7%Earlier saved price 0.7% at 0.00675 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1951 99.3%Earlier saved price 99.3% at 0.99325 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.7% at 0.00675
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.7% to 0.7% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #196

Japan

Yes#1960 2.2%Earlier saved price 2.2% at 0.02193 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1961 97.8%Earlier saved price 97.8% at 0.97807 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 2.2% at 0.02192
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 2.2% to 2.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #197

Jordan

Yes#1970 0.3%Earlier saved price 0.3% at 0.002525 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1971 99.7%Earlier saved price 99.7% at 0.997475 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.3% at 0.002525
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.3% to 0.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #198

Mexico

Yes#1980 1.6%Earlier saved price 1.6% at 0.01557 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1981 98.4%Earlier saved price 98.4% at 0.98443 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 1.6% at 0.01557
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 1.6% to 1.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #199

Morocco

Yes#1990 2.4%Earlier saved price 2.4% at 0.02383 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#1991 97.6%Earlier saved price 97.6% at 0.97617 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 2.4% at 0.02383
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 2.4% to 2.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #200

Netherlands

Yes#2000 6.3%Earlier saved price 5.7% at 0.05663 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2001 93.7%Earlier saved price 94.3% at 0.94337 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 6.3% at 0.06313
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+0.7 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 5.7% to 6.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #201

New Zealand

Yes#2010 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.00066 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2011 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.99934 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.00066
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #202

Norway

Yes#2020 2.4%Earlier saved price 2.4% at 0.02423 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2021 97.6%Earlier saved price 97.6% at 0.97577 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 2.4% at 0.02423
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 2.4% to 2.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #203

Panama

Yes#2030 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.000715 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2031 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.999285 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.000715
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #204

Paraguay

Yes#2040 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.001395 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2041 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.998605 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.001395
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #205

Portugal

Yes#2050 6.6%Earlier saved price 6.6% at 0.06641 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2051 93.4%Earlier saved price 93.4% at 0.93359 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 6.6% at 0.066425
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 6.6% to 6.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #206

Qatar

Yes#2060 0.2%Earlier saved price 0.2% at 0.002465 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2061 99.8%Earlier saved price 99.8% at 0.997535 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.2% at 0.002465
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.2% to 0.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #207

Saudi Arabia

Yes#2070 0.0%Earlier saved price 0.0% at 0.00044 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2071 100.0%Earlier saved price 100.0% at 0.99956 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.0% at 0.00044
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.0% to 0.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #208

Scotland

Yes#2080 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.001175 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2081 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.998825 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.001175
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #209

Senegal

Yes#2090 1.0%Earlier saved price 1.0% at 0.01027 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2091 99.0%Earlier saved price 99.0% at 0.98973 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 1.0% at 0.01027
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 1.0% to 1.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #210

South Africa

Yes#2100 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.000695 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2101 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.999305 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.000695
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #211

South Korea

Yes#2110 0.3%Earlier saved price 0.3% at 0.00318 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2111 99.7%Earlier saved price 99.7% at 0.99682 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.3% at 0.00318
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.3% to 0.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #212

Spain

Yes#2120 14.2%Earlier saved price 14.2% at 0.142185 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2121 85.8%Earlier saved price 85.8% at 0.857815 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 14.2% at 0.142185
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 14.2% to 14.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #213

Sweden

Yes#2130 0.5%Earlier saved price 0.5% at 0.005105 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2131 99.5%Earlier saved price 99.5% at 0.994895 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.5% at 0.005105
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.5% to 0.5% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #214

Switzerland

Yes#2140 1.1%Earlier saved price 1.1% at 0.011225 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2141 98.9%Earlier saved price 98.9% at 0.988775 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 1.1% at 0.011225
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 1.1% to 1.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #215

Tunisia

Yes#2150 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.001 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2151 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.999 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.001
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #216

Turkey

Yes#2160 0.0%Earlier saved price 0.0% at 0.00002 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2161 100.0%Earlier saved price 100.0% at 0.99998 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.0% at 0.00002
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.0% to 0.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #217

USA

Yes#2170 3.9%Earlier saved price 3.9% at 0.039395 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2171 96.1%Earlier saved price 96.1% at 0.960605 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 3.9% at 0.039385
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 3.9% to 3.9% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #218

Uruguay

Yes#2180 0.4%Earlier saved price 0.4% at 0.00441 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2181 99.6%Earlier saved price 99.6% at 0.99559 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.4% at 0.00375
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
-0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.4% to 0.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #219

Uzbekistan

Yes#2190 0.1%Earlier saved price 0.1% at 0.00068 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#2191 99.9%Earlier saved price 99.9% at 0.99932 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 0.1% at 0.00068
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 0.1% to 0.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #461

Fallback

Yes#4610 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4611 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #462

New Zealand

Yes#4620 49.2%Earlier saved price 36.8% at 0.368465 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4621 50.8%Earlier saved price 63.2% at 0.631535 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 49.2% at 0.49182
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+12.3 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 36.8% to 49.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #463

Draw

Yes#4630 28.6%Earlier saved price 28.3% at 0.283475 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4631 71.4%Earlier saved price 71.7% at 0.716525 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 28.6% at 0.28565
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+0.2 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 28.3% to 28.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #464

Egypt

Yes#4640 21.5%Earlier saved price 32.5% at 0.32509 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4641 78.5%Earlier saved price 67.5% at 0.67491 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 21.5% at 0.21497
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
-11.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 32.5% to 21.5% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #481

Fallback

Yes#4810 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4811 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #482

Argentina

Yes#4820 65.3%Earlier saved price 65.3% at 0.652705 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4821 34.7%Earlier saved price 34.7% at 0.347295 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 65.3% at 0.65335
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 65.3% to 65.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #483

Draw

Yes#4830 22.6%Earlier saved price 22.6% at 0.22551 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4831 77.4%Earlier saved price 77.4% at 0.77449 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 22.6% at 0.22551
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 22.6% to 22.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #484

Austria

Yes#4840 12.4%Earlier saved price 12.9% at 0.129375 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4841 87.6%Earlier saved price 87.1% at 0.870625 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 12.4% at 0.124485
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
-0.5 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 12.9% to 12.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #485

Fallback

Yes#4850 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4851 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #486

France

Yes#4860 90.4%Earlier saved price 90.3% at 0.90339 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4861 9.6%Earlier saved price 9.7% at 0.09661 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 90.4% at 0.903675
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 90.3% to 90.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #487

Draw

Yes#4870 7.4%Earlier saved price 7.5% at 0.074725 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4871 92.6%Earlier saved price 92.5% at 0.925275 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 7.4% at 0.074205
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
-0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 7.5% to 7.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #488

Iraq

Yes#4880 2.7%Earlier saved price 2.5% at 0.025315 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4881 97.3%Earlier saved price 97.5% at 0.974685 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 2.7% at 0.02664
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 2.5% to 2.7% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #489

Fallback

Yes#4890 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4891 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #490

Norway

Yes#4900 42.7%Earlier saved price 42.7% at 0.427415 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4901 57.3%Earlier saved price 57.3% at 0.572585 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 42.7% at 0.427475
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 42.7% to 42.7% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #491

Draw

Yes#4910 27.2%Earlier saved price 27.4% at 0.273715 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4911 72.8%Earlier saved price 72.6% at 0.726285 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 27.2% at 0.27172
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
-0.2 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 27.4% to 27.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #492

Senegal

Yes#4920 29.7%Earlier saved price 29.6% at 0.296315 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4921 70.3%Earlier saved price 70.4% at 0.703685 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 29.7% at 0.296645
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 29.6% to 29.7% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #493

Fallback

Yes#4930 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4931 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #494

Jordan

Yes#4940 15.7%Earlier saved price 15.7% at 0.157335 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4941 84.3%Earlier saved price 84.3% at 0.842665 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 15.7% at 0.157335
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 15.7% to 15.7% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #495

Draw

Yes#4950 22.6%Earlier saved price 22.6% at 0.225935 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4951 77.4%Earlier saved price 77.4% at 0.774065 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 22.6% at 0.225945
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 22.6% to 22.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #496

Algeria

Yes#4960 62.4%Earlier saved price 62.4% at 0.62447 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4961 37.6%Earlier saved price 37.6% at 0.37553 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 62.4% at 0.6244
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 62.4% to 62.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #497

Fallback

Yes#4970 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4971 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #498

Panama

Yes#4980 13.0%Earlier saved price 13.0% at 0.130485 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4981 87.0%Earlier saved price 87.0% at 0.869515 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 13.0% at 0.130475
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 13.0% to 13.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #499

Draw

Yes#4990 23.4%Earlier saved price 23.4% at 0.23402 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#4991 76.6%Earlier saved price 76.6% at 0.76598 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 23.4% at 0.23402
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 23.4% to 23.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #500

Croatia

Yes#5000 62.7%Earlier saved price 62.7% at 0.627425 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5001 37.3%Earlier saved price 37.3% at 0.372575 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 62.7% at 0.627425
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 62.7% to 62.7% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #501

Fallback

Yes#5010 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5011 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #502

South Africa

Yes#5020 16.2%Earlier saved price 16.0% at 0.160045 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5021 83.8%Earlier saved price 84.0% at 0.839955 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 16.2% at 0.162115
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+0.2 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 16.0% to 16.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #503

Draw

Yes#5030 24.0%Earlier saved price 24.0% at 0.24028 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5031 76.0%Earlier saved price 76.0% at 0.75972 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 24.0% at 0.24028
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 24.0% to 24.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #504

South Korea

Yes#5040 59.8%Earlier saved price 59.8% at 0.59786 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5041 40.2%Earlier saved price 40.2% at 0.40214 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 59.8% at 0.59786
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 59.8% to 59.8% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #505

Fallback

Yes#5050 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5051 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #506

Portugal

Yes#5060 81.8%Earlier saved price 81.8% at 0.818 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5061 18.2%Earlier saved price 18.2% at 0.182 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 81.8% at 0.81767
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 81.8% to 81.8% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #507

Draw

Yes#5070 13.0%Earlier saved price 13.0% at 0.129625 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5071 87.0%Earlier saved price 87.0% at 0.870375 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 13.0% at 0.129625
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 13.0% to 13.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #508

Uzbekistan

Yes#5080 5.4%Earlier saved price 5.4% at 0.05367 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5081 94.6%Earlier saved price 94.6% at 0.94633 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 5.4% at 0.05367
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 5.4% to 5.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #509

Fallback

Yes#5090 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5091 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #510

No change

Yes#5100 82.1%Earlier saved price 78.5% at 0.784995 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5101 17.9%Earlier saved price 21.5% at 0.215005 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 82.1% at 0.82091
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+3.6 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 78.5% to 82.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the July 2026 FOMC decision leaves the lower bound of the target federal funds rate range unchanged, or if no official July 2026 rate decision is released by 23
59 ET on September 16, 2026.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #511

Decrease

Yes#5110 7.1%Earlier saved price 9.1% at 0.090555 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5111 92.9%Earlier saved price 90.9% at 0.909445 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 7.1% at 0.07083
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
-2.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 9.1% to 7.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #512

Increase

Yes#5120 17.3%Earlier saved price 17.3% at 0.17267 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5121 82.7%Earlier saved price 82.7% at 0.82733 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 17.3% at 0.172665
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 17.3% to 17.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #513

Fallback

Yes#5130 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5131 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #514

Colombia

Yes#5140 64.1%Earlier saved price 64.1% at 0.641315 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5141 35.9%Earlier saved price 35.9% at 0.358685 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 64.1% at 0.64122
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 64.1% to 64.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #515

Draw

Yes#5150 23.0%Earlier saved price 22.9% at 0.229275 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5151 77.0%Earlier saved price 77.1% at 0.770725 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 23.0% at 0.229975
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 22.9% to 23.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #516

Congo DR

Yes#5160 13.1%Earlier saved price 13.1% at 0.13128 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5161 86.9%Earlier saved price 86.9% at 0.86872 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 13.1% at 0.131235
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 13.1% to 13.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #517

Fallback

Yes#5170 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5171 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #518

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Yes#5180 67.7%Earlier saved price 67.7% at 0.676575 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5181 32.3%Earlier saved price 32.3% at 0.323425 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 67.7% at 0.676575
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 67.7% to 67.7% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #519

Draw

Yes#5190 19.6%Earlier saved price 19.6% at 0.19623 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5191 80.4%Earlier saved price 80.4% at 0.80377 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 19.6% at 0.19623
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 19.6% to 19.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #520

Qatar

Yes#5200 13.1%Earlier saved price 13.1% at 0.13097 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5201 86.9%Earlier saved price 86.9% at 0.86903 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 13.1% at 0.13097
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 13.1% to 13.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #521

Fallback

Yes#5210 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5211 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #522

Morocco

Yes#5220 82.2%Earlier saved price 82.3% at 0.822545 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5221 17.8%Earlier saved price 17.7% at 0.177455 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 82.2% at 0.82247
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 82.3% to 82.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #523

Draw

Yes#5230 12.2%Earlier saved price 12.2% at 0.122105 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5231 87.8%Earlier saved price 87.8% at 0.877895 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 12.2% at 0.122105
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 12.2% to 12.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #524

Haiti

Yes#5240 5.3%Earlier saved price 5.3% at 0.05266 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5241 94.7%Earlier saved price 94.7% at 0.94734 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 5.3% at 0.05266
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 5.3% to 5.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #525

Fallback

Yes#5250 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5251 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #526

Switzerland

Yes#5260 39.5%Earlier saved price 39.5% at 0.39464 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5261 60.5%Earlier saved price 60.5% at 0.60536 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 39.5% at 0.39464
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 39.5% to 39.5% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #527

Draw

Yes#5270 31.6%Earlier saved price 31.6% at 0.316475 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5271 68.4%Earlier saved price 68.4% at 0.683525 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 31.6% at 0.316475
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 31.6% to 31.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #528

Canada

Yes#5280 29.6%Earlier saved price 29.6% at 0.295755 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5281 70.4%Earlier saved price 70.4% at 0.704245 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 29.6% at 0.295755
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 29.6% to 29.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #529

Fallback

Yes#5290 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5291 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #530

Scotland

Yes#5300 11.6%Earlier saved price 11.6% at 0.115515 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5301 88.4%Earlier saved price 88.4% at 0.884485 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 11.6% at 0.115515
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 11.6% to 11.6% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #531

Draw

Yes#5310 18.0%Earlier saved price 18.0% at 0.180195 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5311 82.0%Earlier saved price 82.0% at 0.819805 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 18.0% at 0.180195
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 18.0% to 18.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #532

Brazil

Yes#5320 70.2%Earlier saved price 70.2% at 0.70206 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5321 29.8%Earlier saved price 29.8% at 0.29794 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 70.2% at 0.7017
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 70.2% to 70.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #533

Fallback

Yes#5330 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5331 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #534

England

Yes#5340 79.5%Earlier saved price 79.5% at 0.79522 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5341 20.5%Earlier saved price 20.5% at 0.20478 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 79.5% at 0.79522
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 79.5% to 79.5% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #535

Draw

Yes#5350 14.3%Earlier saved price 14.3% at 0.143175 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5351 85.7%Earlier saved price 85.7% at 0.856825 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 14.3% at 0.143175
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 14.3% to 14.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #536

Ghana

Yes#5360 6.5%Earlier saved price 6.5% at 0.065065 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5361 93.5%Earlier saved price 93.5% at 0.934935 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 6.5% at 0.065065
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 6.5% to 6.5% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #537

Fallback

Yes#5370 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5371 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #538

Czechia

Yes#5380 25.3%Earlier saved price 25.3% at 0.25252 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5381 74.7%Earlier saved price 74.7% at 0.74748 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 25.3% at 0.25271
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 25.3% to 25.3% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #539

Draw

Yes#5390 23.5%Earlier saved price 23.5% at 0.234905 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5391 76.5%Earlier saved price 76.5% at 0.765095 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 23.5% at 0.234905
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 23.5% to 23.5% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

This outcome resolves to Yes if the Game ends in a draw, or if the Game is canceled or not completed by July 19, 2026 at 23
59 UTC without FIFA officially declaring a winner.
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #540

Mexico

Yes#5400 51.0%Earlier saved price 51.0% at 0.509685 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5401 49.0%Earlier saved price 49.0% at 0.490315 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 51.0% at 0.509685
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 51.0% to 51.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #541

Fallback

Yes#5410 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5411 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #542

Below 3.8%

Yes#5420 12.2%Earlier saved price 12.2% at 0.12183 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5421 87.8%Earlier saved price 87.8% at 0.87817 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 12.2% at 0.12183
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 12.2% to 12.2% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #543

Exactly 3.8%

Yes#5430 26.5%Earlier saved price 26.5% at 0.265005 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5431 73.5%Earlier saved price 73.5% at 0.734995 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 26.5% at 0.265005
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 26.5% to 26.5% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #544

Above 3.8%

Yes#5440 53.0%Earlier saved price 53.0% at 0.530365 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5441 47.0%Earlier saved price 47.0% at 0.469635 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 53.0% at 0.53033
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 53.0% to 53.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #545

Recurring

Yes#5450 72.0%Earlier saved price 29.8% at 0.2975 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5451 28.0%Earlier saved price 70.3% at 0.7025 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 72.0% at 0.7196
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+42.2 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 29.8% to 72.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

class
priceBinary
underlying
BTC
expiry
20260622-0600
targetPrice
64223
period
1d
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #546

Recurring

Yes#5460 66.4%Earlier saved price 42.0% at 0.419605 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5461 33.6%Earlier saved price 58.0% at 0.580395 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 66.4% at 0.663965
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+24.4 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 42.0% to 66.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

class
priceBinary
underlying
ETH
expiry
20260622-0600
targetPrice
1732.5
period
1d
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #547

Recurring

Yes#5470 86.8%Earlier saved price 67.3% at 0.67293 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5471 13.2%Earlier saved price 32.7% at 0.32707 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 86.8% at 0.86752
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+19.5 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 67.3% to 86.8% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

class
priceBinary
underlying
SOL
expiry
20260622-0600
targetPrice
73.089
period
1d
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #548

Recurring

Yes#5480 15.9%Earlier saved price 4.7% at 0.046515 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5481 84.1%Earlier saved price 95.3% at 0.953485 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 15.9% at 0.15899
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
+11.2 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 4.7% to 15.9% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

class
priceBinary
underlying
HYPE
expiry
20260622-0600
targetPrice
69.405
period
1d
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #549

Recurring Fallback

Yes#5490 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5491 50.0%Earlier saved price 50.0% at 0.5 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 50.0% at 0.5
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 50.0% to 50.0% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #550

Recurring Named Outcome

Yes#5500 1.9%Earlier saved price 11.5% at 0.11548 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5501 98.1%Earlier saved price 88.5% at 0.88452 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 1.9% at 0.0186
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
-9.7 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 11.5% to 1.9% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

index
0
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #551

Recurring Named Outcome

Yes#5510 83.4%Earlier saved price 95.9% at 0.958975 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5511 16.6%Earlier saved price 4.1% at 0.041025 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 83.4% at 0.833755
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
-12.5 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 95.9% to 83.4% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

index
1
Binary EVOdds converter
Outcome #552

Recurring Named Outcome

Yes#5520 12.1%Earlier saved price 13.4% at 0.134245 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708ZNo#5521 87.9%Earlier saved price 86.6% at 0.865755 on 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z
Implied probability
Yes: 12.1% at 0.120505
Mid-price context only; spread, fees, liquidity, and settlement may alter the usable probability.
Price quality
Balanced pair

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed probabilities are internally close.

Probability change
-1.4 pts since earlier price

Yes moved from 13.4% to 12.1% since 2026-06-22T01:17:11.708Z.

index
2
Binary EVOdds converter
Live data - updated 0s ago

Binary outcome EV calculator

Cost
$42.00
Expected payout
$55.00
Expected value
$13.00
Max profit
$58.00
Max loss
$42.00
Breakeven probability
42.0%

Bounded loss is not the same thing as low risk. Small changes in your probability estimate can flip the expected value of a binary contract.

Odds and probability converter

Odds implied probability
40.0%
Decimal outcome price
0.600

A binary outcome trading at 0.60 roughly maps to a 60% breakeven probability before fees, spreads, and settlement risk.

Risk notice
Outcome markets are high-risk event contracts. A market price is not a verified probability, the full cost can be lost, and resolution, settlement, liquidity, fees, and eligibility rules may alter the real risk.

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Breakeven calculator

Translate binary price into a probability hurdle.

Data dictionary

Review market price, spread, stale state, and liquidity definitions.

Sources and corrections

See how outcome-market claims and source freshness are reviewed.

Sources