Outcome markets

Hyperliquid Outcome Markets: Live HIP-4 Prices

Inspect the current HIP-4 contract set, raw Yes/No side mids, targets, expiry, grouped questions, and saved price history from public data.

Last updated: 2026-08-26Last reviewed: 2026-08-26
Product boundary
Public outcome metadata provides contract fields and side prices, but not every complete oracle or comparison rule. Verify the exact resolution terms before treating any market price as a probability.

Live HIP-4 contract board

Public Hyperliquid contract metadata and raw Yes/No side mids. A side mid is a market price, not a verified probability or forecast.

Active contracts
198
Standalone
112
Grouped questions
18
Quote
USDC

Resolution rules require a separate check

The public response currently provides class, target or thresholds, expiry, side labels, and mids for 198 contracts, but not the full oracle and comparison rule. HypeBasis shows those raw fields while withholding verified-probability labels and contract-specific EV links.

Standalone binary contracts

Each row uses the target, expiry, side labels, and mids returned for the current contract id.

template:priceTouch
#1209 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.6816
template:No mid
0.3184
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.6829 to 0.6816 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:binaryPrice
#1210 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.0226
template:No mid
0.9774
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.0226 to 0.0226 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:priceTouch
#1211 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.3190
template:No mid
0.6810
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.3190 to 0.3190 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:priceTouch
#1212 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.1157
template:No mid
0.8843
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-1.6 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.1318 to 0.1156 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:priceTouch
#1213 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.3407
template:No mid
0.6593
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-1.6 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.3566 to 0.3407 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:priceTouch
#1215 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.0456
template:No mid
0.9544
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
+1.7 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.0287 to 0.0456 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:priceTouch
#1216 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.00441
template:No mid
0.9956
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
+0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.0038 to 0.0044 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:priceTouch
#1217 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.00350
template:No mid
0.9965
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
+0.1 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.0029 to 0.0035 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:binaryPrice
#1230 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.8991
template:No mid
0.1009
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-3.6 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.9351 to 0.8991 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

template:binaryPrice
#2494 · USDC · Not supplied
template:Yes mid
0.3505
template:No mid
0.6495
Contract definition
Settlement question incomplete

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.6 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. template:Yes mid moved from 0.3565 to 0.3505 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Grouped question #198

template:sportsTournamentWinner

7 linked contracts
0 settled named outcomes
Expiry
Not supplied
Thresholds
Not supplied
Class
Not supplied

Threshold order and linked contract ids come from the public question record. Range labels and the fallback resolution rule are not inferred.

Named outcome 1
#1473 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.4735
No mid
0.5265
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 1

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.2 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.4751 to 0.4735 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 2
#1474 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.3826
No mid
0.6174
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 2

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
-0.5 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.3879 to 0.3826 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 3
#1475 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.0505
No mid
0.9495
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 3

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.0505 to 0.0505 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 4
#1476 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.0284
No mid
0.9717
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 4

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.0282 to 0.0284 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 5
#1477 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.0150
No mid
0.9850
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 5

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.0150 to 0.0150 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 6
#1478 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.00500
No mid
0.9950
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 6

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.0050 to 0.0050 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Fallback outcome
#1472 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.5000
No mid
0.5000
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, fallback outcome

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.5000 to 0.5000 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Grouped question #199

template:sportsTournamentWinner

7 linked contracts
0 settled named outcomes
Expiry
Not supplied
Thresholds
Not supplied
Class
Not supplied

Threshold order and linked contract ids come from the public question record. Range labels and the fallback resolution rule are not inferred.

Named outcome 1
#1480 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.2186
No mid
0.7814
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 1

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.2186 to 0.2186 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 2
#1481 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.1300
No mid
0.8700
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 2

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.1300 to 0.1300 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 3
#1482 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.1433
No mid
0.8567
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 3

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.1433 to 0.1433 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 4
#1483 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.1274
No mid
0.8726
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 4

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.1274 to 0.1274 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 5
#1484 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.0893
No mid
0.9107
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 5

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.0893 to 0.0893 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Named outcome 6
#1485 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.1308
No mid
0.8692
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, named outcome 6

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.1308 to 0.1308 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

Fallback outcome
#1479 · USDC · Not supplied
Yes mid
0.5000
No mid
0.5000
Contract definition
template:sportsTournamentWinner, fallback outcome

The public metadata does not provide a complete underlying, target, expiry, resolution rule. HypeBasis withholds probability tools until the contract can be explained without guessing.

Target
Not supplied
Expiry
Not supplied
Pair sum
100.0%
Side-price change
0.0 pts since earlier price

Yes and No mids sum to 100.0%, so the displayed side prices are internally close. Yes mid moved from 0.5000 to 0.5000 since 2026-09-21T10:17:44.672Z.

Live liquidity check

Inspect both outcome-token books and a 1,000 quote-token mid-notional visible-fill check before relying on the displayed mids.

Requested only when you click. No wallet connection or order is created.

The concise board starts with 10 of 112 standalone contracts and 2 of 18 grouped questions. Expand only when you need the full contract inventory.

Live data - updated 0s ago

What are Hyperliquid outcome markets?

Hyperliquid outcome markets are bounded contracts with Yes/No or grouped sides and a fixed resolution event. The live board shows public contract metadata and raw side mids; probability and expected-value tools remain secondary until the exact resolution rule is verified.

Checklist before tradingOpen
  • What exactly causes the outcome to settle Yes or No?
  • What is the expiry or settlement time?
  • What asset is used for collateral and settlement?
  • How wide is the order book spread?
  • What happens if the event is ambiguous or delayed?
Open generic outcome calculatorsOpen

These tools are generic. Enter assumptions only after you can state the contract's exact settlement question and source.

Subjective scenario

Compare your estimate with the contract price

Your probability estimate is a manual assumption, not a HypeBasis forecast or market signal.
Probability source
Your estimate
Settlement
Not modeled
Fees and spread
Excluded
Scenario EV
$13.00
Break-even probability
42.0%
Cost and max loss
$42.00
Probability-weighted payout
$55.00
Max profit
$58.00
Estimate minus break-even
13.0 pp

Scenario EV is not a recommendation. A small probability error can flip the result, and the entire cost can be lost. Check exact settlement, resolution, liquidity, fees, and eligibility first.

Translation only

Normalize odds and probability language

Odds direction
Odds to probability
Price direction
Probability to 0-1
Forecast
None
Odds-implied probability
40.0%
Decimal outcome price
0.600

This converts notation only. It does not remove bookmaker margin or account for fees, spread, liquidity, settlement, resolution, or market eligibility.

Risk notice
Outcome markets are high-risk event contracts. A market price is not a verified probability, the full cost can be lost, and resolution, settlement, liquidity, fees, and eligibility rules may alter the real risk.

Related tools

What is HIP-4?

Options basics

Breakeven calculator

Data dictionary

Sources and corrections

Sources

4 references · Expand
  • Hyperliquid Docs: Info endpointAccessed 2026-09-04
    Supports: Public info endpoint families used for market, book, candle, account, portfolio, native borrow/lend reserve, vaultDetails, userFees account-rate, and maxBuilderFee approval reads.
  • Hyperliquid Docs: Asset IDsAccessed 2026-08-26
    Supports: Official outcome-side asset-id encoding used to map Yes and No side assets to public price and order-book endpoints.
  • Hyperliquid Docs: Contract specificationsAccessed 2026-09-04
    Supports: Perpetual contract units, USDC margining, margin fractions, funding versus expiration, and order value limits.
  • QuickNode Docs: Hyperliquid outcome market metadataAccessed 2026-05-30
    Supports: Hyperliquid outcome metadata endpoint shape and technical interpretation boundaries.